Individual prediction uncertainty is a key aspect of clinical prediction model performance; however, standard performance metrics do not capture it. Consequently, a model might offer sufficient ...

We examine by means of simulation the prediction capacity of the profile predictive likelihood function in time series. Small sample AR(1) time series are considered ...

Are Machine Learning (ML) algorithms superior to traditional econometric models for GDP nowcasting in a time series setting? Based on our evaluation of all models from both classes ever used in ...

The U.S. Air Force has awarded Northrop Grumman the potential $972 million firm-fixed-price, time and materials Air Force Modeling and Simulation support services, or AFMS3, contract. Air Force ...